https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnlT3rPNUp0

Guardian 29.3.2020

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/spain-poised-to-tighten-coronavirus-lockdown-after-record-daily-toll

But after Spain on Friday withdrew 58,000 Chinese-made coronavirus testing kits on discovering that they had an accuracy rate of just 30%, the Netherlands – which has recorded 771 deaths, with more than 10,000 confirmed cases – on Sunday recalled 600,000 Chinese face masks that were also found to be defective.

Restocking.

Britain, Italy and Spain each have a population of 60 million, so the numbers are interchangeable. Expectation of life is 80 years. So each year, 800,000 babies are born, and 800,000 die. Perhaps more die in the winter cold.

In Italy in April 2019, nearly 100,000 will have died, more than one quarter from flu, and more than one quarter from pneumonia, both contagious. That is, 25,000 died from flu and 25,000 died from pneumonia. Perhaps they caught it in the supermarket. So in the 2018/2019, Italy had two pandemics. This winter Italy has three, the smaller third being a total of 10,000 deaths from coronavirus. However, the 10,000 number comes from self-testing or no testing at all, or from faulty test kits coming from China. Those who had a trace of coronavirus and also a real dose of flu or pneumonia will be added to the puny statistics of those who died of coronavirus. Diagnosis follows fashion, or follows the money, or both. Research funding follows the fashion. We need to win the war on coronavirus, not wars against flu or pneumonia.  – Ivor Catt  30.3.2020

 

·         Mail on line 30.3.2020 “Japan finally agreed last Tuesday to postpone the Tokyo Olympics until 2021

·         Since then, Tokyo's daily number of coronavirus cases has shot up from 16 to 63

Wow! Japan population exceeds 100,000,000. If expectation of life is 100, then 1 million die each year; 3,000 die each day.

http://www.ivorcatt.co.uk/virus.htm

Synthesis

It woke me up at 5am. Now 8.30am

The numbers don’t add up. I realised that yesterday.

The deaths from the pandemic have reached 6,000 or so in three months in Italy or Spain. Their population is 60 million. To avoid a population explosion, 800,000 should die each year, and 800,000 births are needed. In a normal cold winter three months, perhaps 300,000 die. A pandemic has to kill large numbers, not merely 6,000. Also, deaths have to keep increasing in places like Wuhan.

Population stays under control because the old and the weak die. They die from infections and for other reasons. The infections help to winnow out the old and the weak, and reinforce everyone’s else’s immune system. Perhaps sometimes the immune system will defeat the infection before any symptoms are apparent.

A functioning society creates enough wealth, and so can afford to pay the nurses, doctors and carers that the old and the sick need. When 40 year olds are prevented from going to work, and stand in a queue outside the supermarket in the cold wind waiting their turn to enter the depopulated supermarket, they cannot do their normal job of caring for the old or creating wealth, and some of them fall ill. The old and the infirm suffer the most. The 40 year olds needed to be close together in the supermarket, giving each other infections so that they could go home and defeat their infections in the normal way, building up antibodies.

Keeping everyone away from each other reduces cross-infection, and stops the normal build-up of immunity. It threatens a pandemic in a society that lacks immunity

This insight is independent of whether the coronavirus tests give any false positives or false negatives, or whether those reported as infected were ever tested. Also, independent of whether it looks like flu. Also, that perhaps one quarter of deaths are from infectious pneumonia and one quarter from flu. If this is true, self-isolation will delay, not reduce, deaths, giving the impression that self-isolation stopped a new pandemic. We can look forward to a heralded victory over the 6,000 deaths “pandemic”.

The introduction of validation of totalitarian behaviour under cover of “saving lives” is frightening. Power correupts.

Now 9am   Ivor Catt 29.3.2020